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Fundamentals

Implied Odds: Why a Bad Price Can Still Be a Great Call

Sometimes the pot odds say fold, and calling is still right. The reason is implied odds, the money you expect to win later when your hand comes in.

FeltFalcon
By · 2 min read
Implied Odds: Winning Big When Your Draw Hits

Here’s a situation that confuses a lot of players: the pot odds clearly say fold, and yet the call is right anyway. That’s not the math being broken. That’s implied odds, the piece of the puzzle that lives in the future.

The money you haven’t won yet

Straight pot odds only count the chips on the table right now. But if you complete your draw, you’ll often win more on the later streets, because your opponent keeps betting into your now-monster hand. Implied odds are that expected future money. They mean you can call a price that looks slightly too steep today, because of what you’ll collect tomorrow when the card comes.

When they’re big

Implied odds shine when two things are true: stacks are deep, so there’s a lot left to win, and your draw is hidden, so your opponent won’t see it coming and will pay you off. Flopping a sneaky straight draw 200 big blinds deep against an aggressive player? Your implied odds are huge, that gutshot might be worth chasing even at a lousy immediate price.

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When they’re a trap

The flip side is what gets people. When stacks are shallow, there’s little future money to win, so implied odds barely exist, don’t talk yourself into bad calls dreaming of a payday that can’t happen. And beware “reverse” implied odds: sometimes you hit your hand and still lose a big pot to a better one. Be honest about how much you’ll really win, then decide. It builds right on top of the pot odds and equity basics.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are implied odds?

The extra money you expect to win on future streets if you complete your hand. They let you profitably call a bet even when the immediate pot odds are not quite enough on their own.

When are implied odds high?

When stacks are deep and your draw is well hidden, so you can win a big pot when you hit. They are low when stacks are shallow or your draw is obvious and opponents will shut down.

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